Leonids 2000 : Crash-Expedition
DMS-members observing the Leonids 2000
Arnold Tukkers mother-in-law
asked her Crystal ball
about the Dutch weather
and this is what comes out of it:
(in typically "Twents" dialect)
"allemoal wolk'n bom'n hollaand
en de rest van Europa",
doo dus de oog'n mer dicht".
Jacob Kuiper remarks:
"kijkt je schoonmoeder in de bol,
dan gaat het weer op hol!"Last updated: 12 november 2000
The Dutch version of the Leonids 2000 Crash-Expedition handbook is now nearing completion. We have received a couple of suggestions which are being processed. When time permits we will try to translate the main points in the handbook into English and publish them on the website. So please have some patience! Time is out greatist enemy....
Our well known photographer Robert Haas has developed a very nice logo for this expedition which will be used on the cover of the handbook and also at the website.
The Dutch version of the Leonid 2000 Crash-Expedition handbook is nearly final by the time you read this. The English version, which is below, is still being worked on. Please have some patience. If you wish you can have a copy of the Dutch handbook by sending an e-mail to me: Casper ter Kuile
Introduction After the highly succesfull Sino-Dutch Leonid Expedition '98 and the Leonid Expedition '99 to Spain DMS members are now in charge for the Leonids 2000. At this moment a Leonid 2000 Crash-Expedition Handbook is completed and will be officially introduced at the autumn meeting on Sunday oktober 29 at the Public Observatory Bussloo.
Astronomical We know a number of streammodelling theories:
- Asher & McNaught
- Lyytinen
- Ferrin
- Gockel & Jehn
When we examine these publications we can conclude there is a high level of uncertainty. This is why members of the Dutch Meteor Society decided to observe the Leonids on both 16/17 and 17/18 november.
The tables below present important information of the Moon, Sun and Leonid Radiant
MOON
16/17
17/18
Moonrise
20h11m
21h28m
Culmination
4h29m
5h26m
Position RA
8h24m
9h23m
Position DC
+21g
+18g
K
68%
57%
SUN
Start Twilight
Elevation
Utrecht
Toulon
Brest
Valencia
Faro
52 / +5
43 / +6
48 / -4
39 / 0
37 / -8
Astronomical
-18
5h05m
4h53m
5h40m
5h15m
5h43m
Nautical
-12
5h45m
5h27m
6h17m
5h47m
6h14m
Civil
-6
6h27m
6h02m
6h55m
6h20m
6h45m
Sunrise
-0.8
7h05m
6h33m
7h30m
6h49m
7h13m
RADIANT
RA = 10h12m // DC = +22°
Time
Azimuth
Elevation
[UT]
(S = 0 ; W = 90)
22
234
1
23
246
9
0
256
17
1
267
26
2
280
36
3
294
44
4
312
52
5
334
58
6
1
60
Meteorological To observe the Leonids in full glory we need cloudless skies. In western Europe that might be the biggest problem of all in this time of the year. To find that tiny little gap in the clouds we should be mobile to the max. We distinguish 5 meteorological situations:
- A high pressure system north of the Netherlands above Scandinavia. North-eastern winds bring dry and cold air towards the Netherlands.
- High pressure above the Azores. Depressions are on and off over western Eurpoe. Very changable weather.
- A low above Genua: Mistral over the Provence bring crystal clear skies.
- A complex situation covering a number of low above Europe. This is much like we had in 1996. Very difficult to forecast.
- A large high pressure area covering most of Europe. High changes of fog, mist, low cloudlayers. Go to the top of high hills or move to the edges of the system.
The table below presents the hours of sunshine in november in the west-European city's mentioned. This information may be of help when deciding where to setup your observing session.
Hours of Sunshine in November
in western EuropeNo
City
Country
Sun
[hours]Sun
[%]Geo-
NGeo-
W / E1
Ostende
Belgium
65
51° 12'
2° 52'
2
St. Hubert
Belgium
57
50° 02'
5° 24'
3
Karup
Denmark
41
16
56° 17'
9° 08'
4
Hannover
Germany
58
52° 28'
9° 42'
5
Berlin
Germany
52
52° 28'
13° 24'
6
Koln
Germany
73
50° 52'
7° 08'
7
Frankfurt
Germany
44
50° 03'
8° 35'
8
Karsruhe
Germany
59
49° 01'
8° 23'
9
Feldberg
Germany
86
47° 52'
8° 00'
10
Caen
France
84
49° 11'
-0° 27'
11
Dijon
France
68
24
47° 16'
5° 05'
12
Nevers
France
82
47° 00'
3° 06'
13
Nantes
France
91
31
47° 10'
-1° 36'
14
Lyon
France
75
25
45° 43'
4° 57'
15
Limoges
France
84
45° 52'
1° 11'
16
Bordeau
France
103
34
44° 50'
-0° 42'
17
Toulon
France
157
55
43° 06'
5° 56'
18
Perpignan
France
148
53
42° 44'
2° 52'
19
Valencia
Spain
159
49
39° 30'
-0° 28'
20
Madrid
Spain
147
52
40° 28'
-3° 34'
21
Almeria
Spain
185
58
36° 51'
-2° 23'
22
Faro
Portugal
182
59
37° 01'
-7° 55'
DMS teams DMS members have set up three expeditions this year.
- Hans Betlem and team is heading for Spain. This will be the so called "camper expedition".
- Peter Bus, Jaap van 't Leven and Klaas Jobse go to the Algarve in Portugal.
- And the rest of us is heading for a location somewhere in western Europe where the Leonids will be visible against a starry background
Scenario's We have about 7 scenario's to reckon with:
- Clear skies over the Netherlands
- Clear skies over northern Germany / Denmark
- Clear skies over eastern Germany
- Clear skies over Belgium / Ardennes / northern France
- Clear skies over southern Germany / central France
- Clear skies over atlantic coastal area of France
- Clear skies over souther France / Provence / Mediterrain area
Timetable This paragraph discusses into a lot of detail when to do what by whom. It starts on Tuesday november 7 with the first analyses of the weather forecasts. On wednesday november 15 a decision may be made on where to go.
Logistics This paragraph discusses how to get there.
Communications The table below presents the phonenumbers of our observers. During the expedition the teams can be contacted by using the mobile numbers.
Name
Local
Mobile(1)
Mobile(2)
Casper
+31-30-2203170
+31-6-24242445
+31-6-53270844
Robert
+31-172-441270
+31-6-24200247
+31-6-21543707
Koen
+31-341-558729
Marco
+31-71-5613750
+31-6-22926983
Marc
+31-70-3205673
+31-6-20014479
Jos
+31-229-591552
Carl
+49-2562-22345
Romke
+31-53-4311090
+31-6-53696066
Arnold
+31-541-354598
+31-6-23983322
Rita
+31-74-2438748
VST-Lattrop
+31-541-229700
Jacob
+31-30-2204268
+31-6-51507483
Peter
+31-50-3134211
Jaap
+31-36-5335353
Klaas
+31-118-582816
Olga
+31-317-414925
+31-6-23317066
Hans
+31-71-5223817
+31-6-54636033
+31-6-27012449
Ton
+31-50-5013382
Jean-Marie
+32-49-6751845
Observing Techniques
- Visual
- Photographic
- Video
- Radio
References Below we present some interesting links to information we used to setup our expedition.
- http://home.wanadoo.nl/dms/leonids/1999/expedition.html
- http://home.wanadoo.nl/dms/leonids/1999/leonid_1999_results.html
- http://home.wanadoo.nl/dms/leonids/1999/dmsother.html
- Documentation Leonids 2000 (E-mail discussions)
- http://www.arm.ac.uk/leonid/index.html
- http://www.arm.ac.uk/leonid/dustexpl.html
- http://www.metaresearch.org/solar%20system/leonid/leonid2000_predictions.asp
- http://www.metaresearch.org/expeditions/past/1999leonid/1999leonidreport.asp
- http://www.metaresearch.org/expeditions/coming/storms/leonids-2001-expedition.asp
- http://www.atnf.csiro.au/asa_www/info_sheets/leonids.html
- http://www.sci.fi/~fmbb/astro/leonids.htm
- http://leonid.arc.nasa.gov/index.html
- http://web99.arc.nasa.gov/~leonid/1998.html
- http://leonid.arc.nasa.gov/leonidnews.html
- http://spacescience.com/headlines/y2000/ast10oct_1.htm
- http://spacescience.com/headlines/y2000/ast26oct_1.htm
- http://comets.amsmeteors.org/meteors/showers/leonids.html
- http://www.skypub.com/sights/meteors/meteors.shtml
- http://hometown.aol.com/theleonids/index.html
- http://www.orion-drustvo.si/MBKTeam/mbkteam.htm
Checklist This checklist is primarily aimed not to forget important things.
- Important documents: passport, driving license, insurance documents, bankcard, creditcard
- Car: car documents, maps, gasoline, oil, tyres, spare parts, jerrycans
- Equipment: "low battery", "Hazen battery", image intensifier system, power generator, accessories, GPS-unit, GSM-phone, Canon Ixus, Dell Laptop
- Observing materials: memorecorders and spare batteries, flashlights with red eye protection
- Warm clothing: gloves, cap, shawl, sleping bag
- Voedsel: gesmeerde boterhammen, drinken, koekies, etc.
- Various: staratlas, starguide, spare parts, first aid kit, pen and paper, addresslist
Conclusions Appendixes
- D.J.Asher, M.E.Bailey, V.V.Emel'yanenko: Resonant meteoroids from Comet Temple-Tuttle in 1333: the cause of the unexpected Leonid outburst in 1998, MNRAS 304, L53-L56 (1999)
- D.J.Asher: The Leonid meteor storms of 1833 and 1966, MNRAS 307, 919-924 (1999)
- Esko Lyytinen, Tom van Flandren: Predictiing the Strenght of Leonid Outburtst, Meta Research Bulletin 8, 149-166 (1999)
- I.Ferrin: Meteor storm forecasting: Leonids 1999-2001, A&A 348, 295-299 (1999)
- C.Göckel, R.Jehn: Testing cometary ejection models to fit the 1999 Leonids and to predict future showers, MNRAS 317, L1-L5 (2000)
- Robert H. McNaught and David J. Asher: Leonid Dust Trails and Meteor Storms, WGN 27:2, 85-102 (1999)
- Robert H. McNaught: Visibility of Leonid Showers in 1999-2006 and 2034, WGN 27:3/4, 164-171 (1999)
- Peter Jenniskens et.al.: Lorentz-Shaped comet dust trail cross section from new hybrid visual and video meteor counting technique - implications for future Leonid storm encounters
- Peter Bus: Leoniden 2000: Een kort overzicht met commentaar op de diverse verwachtingen.
- Carl Johannink: Piekmoment voor de verschillende stofschillen
- Marco Langbroek: Rapportage-protocol Leoniden
- Casper ter Kuile: Meteoformulier - prognoses voor de Leoniden 2000
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This page was last modified on November 12, 2000 by Carl Johannink and Casper ter Kuile |