X2.2 Solar Flare : 15 februari 2011
0 Forecasts Dutch Aurora Alert Alerts and Warnings 1 Xray flares GOES Xray Flux Alerts and Warnings 2 Earth directed? SOHO LASCO-C3 SOHO EIT-195 3 Speed ACE SWEPAM SOHO Proton Monitor 4 Mass influx 1 ACE EPAM Electrons GOES Electron Flux 5 Mass influx 2 ACE SIS Protons GOES Proton Flux 6 Electron flux ACE EPAM Protons POES Auroral Activity 7 Mag. satellite ACE MAG GOES Magnetometer 8 Mag. earth Norway - Stack Germany - Wingst 9 Kp-index NOAA Estimated Kp Costello Predicted Kp
Het event van 15 februari 2011
Het is vrijwel precies 6 jaar na de laatste echt grote uitbarsting op 20 januari 2005. Dat was de laatste van de voorgaande zonnecyclus. Nu, 15 februari 2011, worden we getracteerd op de eerste grote X-flare van de nieuwe zonnecyclus. Ik heb enkele grafieken bij elkaar gesprokkeld en die in het zelfde template gegoten als dat van zes jaar geleden. Voor een vergelijking is het event van 20 januari 2005 erg leerzaam. Meer informatie over zonnestormen en aurora of poollicht is te verkrijgen via: De Noorderlicht discussie groep. http://groups.yahoo.com/group/noorderlicht Belangrijke meldingen worden in de alertlijst gedaan. http://groups.yahoo.com/group/noorderlicht_alert Realtime site van Roy Keeris: http://roy.schrijft.nl/poollicht/mobile/ Meer informatie op de Poollicht site van Roy Keeris: http://www.poollicht.info/ Via Twitter wordt je in vrijwel real-time op de hoogte gehouden van alles rond poollicht: http://twitter.com/NoorderlichtNL Of via een search in Twitter met de hashtag #poollicht http://twitter.com/#!/search?q=%23poollicht
NOAA/SWPC SpaceWeather Alerts and Warnings Timeline
Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/alerts/alerts_timeline.html More alerts: Space Weather Alerts
Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA
NOAA/SWPC GOES Xray flux
Real time data (6 hours): http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html Real time data (3 days): http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5m.html
Definition of an X-RAY BURST.
A temporary enhancement of the X-ray emission of the sun. The time-intensity profile of soft X-ray bursts is similar to that of the H-ALPHA profile of an associated FLARE.Definition of the X-RAY FLARE CLASS.
Rank of a FLARE based on its X-ray energy output. Flares are classified by the order of magnitude of the peak burst intensity (I) measured at the earth in the 1 to 8 angstrom band as follows:Class (in Watt/sq. Meter) B I less than (l.t.) 10.0E-06 C 10.0E-06 l.e.= I l.t.= 10.0E-05 M 10.0E-05 l.e.= I l.t.= 10.0E-04 X I g.e.= 10.0E-04Definition of H-ALPHA.
This ABSORPTION LINE of neutral hydrogen falls in the red part of the visible spectrum and is convenient for solar observations. The H-alpha line is universally used for patrol observations of solar flares.
Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA
SOHO LASCO-C3
Real time data: http://soho.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/c3/512/ More real time data: http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/
Image courtesy of ESA/NASA European Space Agency and National Aeronautics and Space Administration
SOHO EIT-195
Real time data: http://soho.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/eit_195/512/ More real time data: http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/
Image courtesy of ESA/NASA European Space Agency and National Aeronautics and Space Administration
NOAA/SWPC GOES Proton flux
Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/pro_3d.html
Definition of a PROTON EVENT.
By definition, the measurement of at least 10 protons/sq.cm/sec/steradian at energies greater than 10 MeV.
Definition of a PROTON FLARE.
Any FLARE producing significant FLUXes of greater-than-10 MeV protons in the vicinity of the earth.Energetic protons can reach Earth within 30 minutes of a major flare's peak. During such an event, Earth is showered with highly energetic solar particles (primarily protons) released from the flare site. Some of these particles spiral down Earth's magnetic field lines, reaching the upper layers of our atmosphere.
Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA
NOAA/SWPC GOES Electron flux
Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/elec_3d.html
Definition of a PROTON EVENT.
By definition, the measurement of at least 10 protons/sq.cm/sec/steradian at energies greater than 10 MeV.
Definition of a PROTON FLARE.
Any FLARE producing significant FLUXes of greater-than-10 MeV protons in the vicinity of the earth.Energetic protons can reach Earth within 30 minutes of a major flare's peak. During such an event, Earth is showered with highly energetic solar particles (primarily protons) released from the flare site. Some of these particles spiral down Earth's magnetic field lines, reaching the upper layers of our atmosphere.
Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA
NOAA/SWPC GOES Magnetometer
Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/mag_3d.html
Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA
NASA/ESA SOHO Proton Monitor - 2 days
Real time data (2 days): http://umtof.umd.edu/pm/latest2day.gif Real time data (2 weeks): http://umtof.umd.edu/pm/latest2week.gif
From top to bottom, the 4 panels represent the following solar wind proton parameters:
- 1) the bulk speed in kilometers per second
- 2) the density (protons per cm3)
- 3) the most probable thermal speed (km/sec) = Sqrt(2kT/m)
- 4) the flow direction in the plane perpendicular to the ecliptic plane, with positive values indicating flow FROM the south. On rare occassions the spacecraft's roll angle is changed for brief periods, during which the derived flow direction will refer to a different plane. A list of such times is available.
SOHO is never in the magnetosphere and enjoys excellent data coverage. The data on the Web page are typically between a few minutes and a few hours old.
Image courtesy of the UMCP Space Physics Group of the University of Maryland
NOAA/SWPC ACE RTSW (Estimated) EPAM
(Electrons & protons)
Real time data: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ace/EPAM_3d.html More data: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw_data.html
The Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) launched at 10:39 a.m., August 25, 1997
Image courtesy of NASA Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE)
Caltech, Pasadena, California, USA
NOAA/SWPC ACE RTSW (Estimated) SIS
(Solar Isotope Spectrometer)
Real time data: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ace/SIS_3d.html More data: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw_data.html
The Solar Isotope Spectrometer (SIS) is designed to provide high resolution measurements of the isotopic composition of energetic nuclei from He to Ni (Z=2 to 28) over the energy range from ~10 to ~100 MeV/nucleon. During large solar events, when particle fluxes can increase over quiet-time values by factors of up to 10000, SIS will measure the isotopic composition of the solar corona.
Image courtesy of NASA Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE)
Caltech, Pasadena, California, USA
NOAA/SWPC ACE RTSW (Estimated) MAG & SWEPAM
(Electron, Proton, and Alpha Monitor)
Real time data: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_3d.html More data: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw_data.html
The Solar Wind Electron, Proton, and Alpha Monitor (SWEPAM) measures the solar wind plasma electron and ion fluxes (rates of particle flow) as functions of direction and energy. These data provide detailed knowledge of the solar wind conditions and internal state every minute. SWEPAM also provides real-time solar wind observations which are continiously telemetered to the ground for space weather purposes.
Electron and ion measurements are made with separate sensors. The ion sensor measures particle energies between about 0.26 and 36 KeV, and the electron sensor's energy range is between 1 and 1350 eV. Both sensors use electrostatic analyzers with fan-shaped fields-of-view. The electrostatic analyzers measure the energy per charge of each particle by bending their flight paths through the system. The fields-of-view are swept across all solar wind directions by the rotation of the spacecraft.
The Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) launched at 10:39 a.m., August 25, 1997
Image courtesy of NASA Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE)
Caltech, Pasadena, California, USA
Costello Predicted Activity Index
(in Kp units)
Real time data (24 hours): http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rpc/costello/costello_latest.html Real time data (7 days): http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rpc/costello/costello_7d.html
The Costello Geomagnetic Activity Index model was developed by Kirt Costello at Rice University under support from the US Air Force and Sterling Software, Inc. It is a neural network algorithm that was trained on the response of the Kp geomagnetic activity index to solar wind parameters. The model takes the most recent two hours of solar wind data and returns a 3-hour activity index prediction in units of Kp. The valid time of the prediction is indicated on the output graphics by horizontal bars.
Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA
NOAA/SWPC Estimated Planetary K index
Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html
Definition of the K INDEX.
A 3-hourly quasi-logarithmic local index of geomagnetic activity relative to an assumed quiet-day curve for the recording site. Range is from 0 to 9. The K index measures the deviation of the most disturbed horizontal component.Definition of the Kp INDEX.
A 3-hourly planetary geomagnetic index of activity generated in Gottingen, Germany, based on the K INDEX from 12 or 13 stations distributed around the world.Kp and its related indices (ap, Ap, Cp) have been widely used in ionospheric and atmospheric studies and are generally recognized as indices measuring the effect of energetic charged particles arriving in Earth's upper atmosphere after periods of intense solar activity.
Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA
Norway - Magnetometer
Realtime Magnetometer D component: http://geo.phys.uit.no/stack/stackD.html Realtime Magnetometer H component: http://geo.phys.uit.no/stack/stackH.html Image courtesy of the Tromsų Geophysical Observatory
Wingst - Germany - Magnetometer
Real time data: http://spider.irf.se/mag/
Image courtesy of the Swedish Institute of Space Physics
NOAA/SWPC POES Auroral Oval
Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/pmap/pmapN.html More historic data: http://sec.noaa.gov/pmap/Plots.html More data: http://sec.noaa.gov/pmap/
Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA
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This page was last modified on February 20, 2011 by Casper ter Kuile |