X2.2 Solar Flare : 15 februari 2011


0ForecastsDutch Aurora AlertAlerts and Warnings
1Xray flaresGOES Xray FluxAlerts and Warnings
2Earth directed?SOHO LASCO-C3SOHO EIT-195
3SpeedACE SWEPAMSOHO Proton Monitor
4Mass influx 1ACE EPAM ElectronsGOES Electron Flux
5Mass influx 2ACE SIS ProtonsGOES Proton Flux
6Electron fluxACE EPAM ProtonsPOES Auroral Activity
7Mag. satelliteACE MAGGOES Magnetometer
8Mag. earthNorway - StackGermany - Wingst
9Kp-indexNOAA Estimated KpCostello Predicted Kp




Het event van 15 februari 2011

Het is vrijwel precies 6 jaar na de laatste echt grote uitbarsting op 20 januari 2005.
Dat was de laatste van de voorgaande zonnecyclus.
Nu, 15 februari 2011, worden we getracteerd op de eerste grote X-flare van de nieuwe zonnecyclus.
Ik heb enkele grafieken bij elkaar gesprokkeld en die in het zelfde template gegoten als dat van zes jaar geleden.
Voor een vergelijking is het event van 20 januari 2005 erg leerzaam.

Meer informatie over zonnestormen en aurora of poollicht is te verkrijgen via:

De Noorderlicht discussie groep.
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/noorderlicht

Belangrijke meldingen worden in de alertlijst gedaan.
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/noorderlicht_alert

Realtime site van Roy Keeris:
http://roy.schrijft.nl/poollicht/mobile/

Meer informatie op de Poollicht site van Roy Keeris:
http://www.poollicht.info/

Via Twitter wordt je in vrijwel real-time op de hoogte gehouden van alles rond poollicht:

http://twitter.com/NoorderlichtNL

Of via een search in Twitter met de hashtag #poollicht

http://twitter.com/#!/search?q=%23poollicht





NOAA/SWPC SpaceWeather Alerts and Warnings Timeline


Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/alerts/alerts_timeline.html

More alerts: Space Weather Alerts


Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA




NOAA/SWPC GOES Xray flux


Real time data (6 hours): http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html

Real time data (3 days): http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5m.html


Definition of an X-RAY BURST.
A temporary enhancement of the X-ray emission of the sun. The time-intensity profile of soft X-ray bursts is similar to that of the H-ALPHA profile of an associated FLARE.

Definition of the X-RAY FLARE CLASS.
Rank of a FLARE based on its X-ray energy output. Flares are classified by the order of magnitude of the peak burst intensity (I) measured at the earth in the 1 to 8 angstrom band as follows:

Definition of H-ALPHA.
This ABSORPTION LINE of neutral hydrogen falls in the red part of the visible spectrum and is convenient for solar observations. The H-alpha line is universally used for patrol observations of solar flares.


Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA




SOHO LASCO-C3


Real time data: http://soho.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/c3/512/

More real time data: http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/


Image courtesy of ESA/NASA European Space Agency and National Aeronautics and Space Administration




SOHO EIT-195


Real time data: http://soho.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/eit_195/512/

More real time data: http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime/


Image courtesy of ESA/NASA European Space Agency and National Aeronautics and Space Administration




NOAA/SWPC GOES Proton flux


Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/pro_3d.html


Definition of a PROTON EVENT.
By definition, the measurement of at least 10 protons/sq.cm/sec/steradian at energies greater than 10 MeV.

Definition of a PROTON FLARE.
Any FLARE producing significant FLUXes of greater-than-10 MeV protons in the vicinity of the earth.

Energetic protons can reach Earth within 30 minutes of a major flare's peak. During such an event, Earth is showered with highly energetic solar particles (primarily protons) released from the flare site. Some of these particles spiral down Earth's magnetic field lines, reaching the upper layers of our atmosphere.


Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA




NOAA/SWPC GOES Electron flux


Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/elec_3d.html


Definition of a PROTON EVENT.
By definition, the measurement of at least 10 protons/sq.cm/sec/steradian at energies greater than 10 MeV.

Definition of a PROTON FLARE.
Any FLARE producing significant FLUXes of greater-than-10 MeV protons in the vicinity of the earth.

Energetic protons can reach Earth within 30 minutes of a major flare's peak. During such an event, Earth is showered with highly energetic solar particles (primarily protons) released from the flare site. Some of these particles spiral down Earth's magnetic field lines, reaching the upper layers of our atmosphere.


Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA




NOAA/SWPC GOES Magnetometer


Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/mag_3d.html


Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA




NASA/ESA SOHO Proton Monitor - 2 days


Real time data (2 days): http://umtof.umd.edu/pm/latest2day.gif

Real time data (2 weeks): http://umtof.umd.edu/pm/latest2week.gif


From top to bottom, the 4 panels represent the following solar wind proton parameters:

SOHO is never in the magnetosphere and enjoys excellent data coverage. The data on the Web page are typically between a few minutes and a few hours old.


Image courtesy of the UMCP Space Physics Group of the University of Maryland




NOAA/SWPC ACE RTSW (Estimated) EPAM
(Electrons & protons)


Real time data: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ace/EPAM_3d.html

More data: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw_data.html


The Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) launched at 10:39 a.m., August 25, 1997


Image courtesy of NASA Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE)
Caltech, Pasadena, California, USA




NOAA/SWPC ACE RTSW (Estimated) SIS
(Solar Isotope Spectrometer)


Real time data: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ace/SIS_3d.html

More data: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw_data.html


The Solar Isotope Spectrometer (SIS) is designed to provide high resolution measurements of the isotopic composition of energetic nuclei from He to Ni (Z=2 to 28) over the energy range from ~10 to ~100 MeV/nucleon. During large solar events, when particle fluxes can increase over quiet-time values by factors of up to 10000, SIS will measure the isotopic composition of the solar corona.


Image courtesy of NASA Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE)
Caltech, Pasadena, California, USA




NOAA/SWPC ACE RTSW (Estimated) MAG & SWEPAM
(Electron, Proton, and Alpha Monitor)


Real time data: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_3d.html

More data: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/ace_rtsw_data.html


The Solar Wind Electron, Proton, and Alpha Monitor (SWEPAM) measures the solar wind plasma electron and ion fluxes (rates of particle flow) as functions of direction and energy. These data provide detailed knowledge of the solar wind conditions and internal state every minute. SWEPAM also provides real-time solar wind observations which are continiously telemetered to the ground for space weather purposes.

Electron and ion measurements are made with separate sensors. The ion sensor measures particle energies between about 0.26 and 36 KeV, and the electron sensor's energy range is between 1 and 1350 eV. Both sensors use electrostatic analyzers with fan-shaped fields-of-view. The electrostatic analyzers measure the energy per charge of each particle by bending their flight paths through the system. The fields-of-view are swept across all solar wind directions by the rotation of the spacecraft.


The Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) launched at 10:39 a.m., August 25, 1997


Image courtesy of NASA Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE)
Caltech, Pasadena, California, USA




Costello Predicted Activity Index
(in Kp units)


Real time data (24 hours): http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rpc/costello/costello_latest.html

Real time data (7 days): http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rpc/costello/costello_7d.html


The Costello Geomagnetic Activity Index model was developed by Kirt Costello at Rice University under support from the US Air Force and Sterling Software, Inc. It is a neural network algorithm that was trained on the response of the Kp geomagnetic activity index to solar wind parameters. The model takes the most recent two hours of solar wind data and returns a 3-hour activity index prediction in units of Kp. The valid time of the prediction is indicated on the output graphics by horizontal bars.


Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA




NOAA/SWPC Estimated Planetary K index


Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html


Definition of the K INDEX.
A 3-hourly quasi-logarithmic local index of geomagnetic activity relative to an assumed quiet-day curve for the recording site. Range is from 0 to 9. The K index measures the deviation of the most disturbed horizontal component.

Definition of the Kp INDEX.
A 3-hourly planetary geomagnetic index of activity generated in Gottingen, Germany, based on the K INDEX from 12 or 13 stations distributed around the world.

Kp and its related indices (ap, Ap, Cp) have been widely used in ionospheric and atmospheric studies and are generally recognized as indices measuring the effect of energetic charged particles arriving in Earth's upper atmosphere after periods of intense solar activity.


Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA




Norway - Magnetometer


Realtime Magnetometer D component: http://geo.phys.uit.no/stack/stackD.html

Realtime Magnetometer H component: http://geo.phys.uit.no/stack/stackH.html

Image courtesy of the Tromsų Geophysical Observatory




Wingst - Germany - Magnetometer


Real time data: http://spider.irf.se/mag/


Image courtesy of the Swedish Institute of Space Physics




NOAA/SWPC POES Auroral Oval


Real time data: http://sec.noaa.gov/pmap/pmapN.html

More historic data: http://sec.noaa.gov/pmap/Plots.html

More data: http://sec.noaa.gov/pmap/


Image courtesy of NOAA Space Environment Center (SEC), Boulder, Colorado, USA



Back to
DMS homepage
back.gif This page was last modified on February 20, 2011 by
Casper ter Kuile